Friday, December 13, 2013

DIVI THOOFFANN: Causative of a Gravitational Demon?* Physics Section, Paper No.89, the 68th Ind. Sci. Cong. Session, B H U, Varanasi, 3-8th January 1981.

Volume 2013 Issue No.12, Dt. 5 December 2013: Time: 2h47m.PM.

DIVI THOOFFANN:
Causative of a Gravitational Demon?*
OHh
by

K. L. Narayana M. Inst. P (Lond)

Principal Investigator, U G C Sponsored Research Project,
Shivaji University, Kolhapur - 416004.
and
                                   (KLN, Physics Section, Paper No.89, the 68th Ind. Sci. Cong. Session, 
                                        Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 3-8th January 1981.)

ABSTRACT

                The GRAVITATIONAL DEMON Cyclones that rotated about the South India one on the Arabian Sea and the other on Bay of Bengal in 1977 from 14 to 19 November caused an unprecedented human and material loss. Taking specifically the example of individual cyclones that existed during the 13th November to 19th November over the Indian peninsular regions we note that cyclones separated by a distance of the order of 1600km could interact mutually gravitationally. The massive structure of a cyclone is also not free from the gravitational perturbations that it is subjected to generally. The author’s work revealed that the Bay of Bengal November 1977 cyclone to have existed as an individual motion system of the atmosphere oriented vertically with an effective length of L=7.5km and radius r~70km, density μ =1.21E-02gm per cm3 with a convective pressure tensile strength T= 8.829E+06 dynes per square cm area. This set an upper limit to be about 0.0611468 rad/sec. The rate of rotational movement of this cyclone is of the order 8.79E-07 rad sec-1. The kinetic energy of the cyclone motion system is of the order of 6.829E+11kJ. The radiation loss by the Binary cyclone system is calculated to be 2.611E-14eV and the number of gravitons emitted per second is calculated to be 2.267E+07. At a rate of about 8km a day (exclusively due to the said available potential energy conversion) this involves a kinetic energy of the motion of about 1.764E+12kJ only a fraction of the total potential energy available which the later is normally of magnitude 10E+18kJ. Thus the dominant kinetic energy contribution to the observed normal north-westerly motion of the Bay of Bengal cyclone during the Oct-Nov months is due to the Baroclinical disturbances.



INTRODUCTION

Anti-clock wise rotational tracks of Binary cyclone system of November 1977 during 14 to 19 November 1977 with one storm in the Bay of Bengal and the other storm in the Arabian Sea has been followed with a great concern of tragic human life on both the East and West coasts of India. A happening that has occurred now repeated after lapse of almost 130 years ago. In the Fig.1 IMG_2307 the solid and dotted inter-cyclone lines indicate the distance between the eyes of the respective cyclones after and before the major onslaught of the gravitational interaction of the 16 November 1977.

DETAILS
         
          Spasmodic recurrence of severe cyclone-tide wave on the 19th November 1977, after a lapse of about 113 years at Machillipatnam in Krishna District, Andhra Pradesh, India, left permanent hell-born and diabolical impressions on the minds of both the weather experts and the general public alike, of devastations that such cyclones could cause. Thooffann is the typical local word for such severe storms and folk people of the land variedly describe these as the attempt of revengeful sea goddess or as a happening of Kaliyuga or still as the act of an unknown demon. Records show such storms that affected the Andhra Coast struck earlier on the 13th October 1672, 20th May 1787, 20th October 1800 around the Machillipatnam and the Guntur district.

Omniform records of divi toOffann

          The 19th November 1977 cyclone has been described as Chirala cyclone by Meteorology Department, general public refer it as the Divi Thooffann. This cyclone is one an unusual magnitude of intensity and generated a tidal wave upsurge of 6 meters height which deeply penetrated overland about 15 miles. The cyclone-tidal wave extended over an area of about 150 square miles, devasting more than 150 villages with about half of them totally wiped out. About one lakh of live-stock perished. The death toll of human life has been estimated with wide variations of the figures quoted, ranging from 60,000 to 100,000 and official records put the figure nearly as about 10,000.

          Previously published articles by the Meteorology Department and weather experts attempted a presentation of all the available details regarding this cyclone. They include satellite observations photographs, Radar and Balloon experimental data. Interesting also is a book by Cohen et al, entitled ”The Cyclone of 1977” which gives extensive details and sources of literature on this subject and further enumerate the individual and Institutional Responses to Mass Death that occurred within minutes of the onset of cyclone and during the night of 19th November 1977. Referring to graphic details and to the literature of local and other news media may be also found in this book.

          D.P. K. Das, Director General of Meteorology Government of India in a letter-note addressed to the author described this severe storm (14th - 20th November) as follows:   
          “This severest storm caused heavy to very heavy rain in Prakasham, Guntur, Krishna and East and West Godavari districts between19th and 21st and in Telengana on 20th. In Andhra Pradesh Guntur had a record rainfall of 40cm on 20th, Gales of 100 to 200Kmph lashed these districts? Tidal waves 5 to 6 meters high washed away at least 20 villages in Divi Taluka of Krishna District and 8 villages in Kona area of Bandar Taluka and 400,000 poultry were reported lost.8000 persons died in Divi Taluka alone. About 10lakhs of huts and houses were damaged rendering about 3.5 millions of people homeless. All standing crops like paddy, sugar cane, cotton, tobacco and coconut in about 353600 acres of Coastal Andhra Pradesh were reported damaged. The loss to crops and property estimated to be about Rs.350crores.Road and rail communications, telegraph and telephone services were badly dislocated in the above mentioned coastal districts of Andhra Pradesh. There was extensive damage to communication system.”

CONGENIAL RETREATING MONSOON IMBROGLIO

          Towards the end of October month and the month of November the most important feature of the South-East or South-West monsoon is the increasing weakness of it with moderate winds prevailing over the south of Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea. Usually the pressure is about a twentieth of an inch higher in the north than in the Centre of Bay of Bengal. Sally weather to the south of bay exists with damp westerly winds of retreating south-west(east) monsoon, still blowing across north-easterly winds of light to moderate strength fairly steadily over the north-India land and Bay and as well over the greater central part of the Bay. Pressure is lowest, in the coastal belt stretch, from Coromondal coast, Ceylon and extending to Nicobar Island. The conditions above the 4km indicate that mountains of Assam, Burma and China being lower than 4km the easterly equatorial maritime air and the tropical maritime moist air from the North Pacific Ocean high spread over North-East India, at least at that height. The other air masses that contribute to the deep depressions of the monsoon are the subsiding tropical maritime air mass and the dry tropical continental air of the North-West India. But the structure of the monsoon depression and mechanism of their generation, as per the studies of the meteorology department of India signify varied possibilities of interpenetration depending on the year, seasonal, month and the atmospheric observation.

          The mountain barrier of Himalayas ranges prevent the polar air from moving over the Ganges low lands and to the Southern India. South of about 200 N, experiences the winter monsoon, but it is rather weak and its air masses, are not of polar origin. In India, therefore, the term monsoon is normally used only for the summer winds and more specifically for their accompanying rain fall. Indian Meteorological Department uses the word cyclonic storm, when the wind speeds exceeds 17.77meters per second and a severe cyclonic storm when the speed exceeds about 22.22meters per second. The cyclones are, in the tropical seas of the Indian Continent, well developed, mature monsoon depressions which move in anticlockwise direction of motion.

CATASTROPHIC PHENOMENON OF INTERACTING BINARY CYCLONE SYSTEMS

          It was around the 9th November 1977 that a nucleus of depression was spotted developing into a cyclone over the Andaman Sea. It crossed the land at Nagapatinum around the 12th November. Eventually it moved over to the Arabian Sea via the Kozhikode and Palghat regions of Kerala coast. It assumed then natural course of West-Northwest direction intensifying in its strength and energy till the 16th November 1977.

          Destined or accidental it may be that around the 13th November 1977 another cyclone developed  over the Sumatra region of the Bay of Bengal while also it intensified and moved over the north-west direction, till 16th November 1977.
         
          An uncommon phenomenon unknown earlier to the weather experts has occurred on the 16th instant. The two cyclone storm systems, the one in the Bay of Bengal and the other in the Arabian Sea rotated in an anti-clockwise fashion about a common centre. [Ref.5].This is obviously due to some unknown kind of interaction between the two cyclones.

                   Satellite observations photographs clearly depicted that against all existing knowledge and information of tropical storm movements the two cyclones of the Indian peninsular region, these two cyclone systems coupled moved a different course.  The cyclone of the Bay of Bengal moved northwest while that in the Arabian Sea moved Southeast directions respectively. The phenomenon continued to occur during all the four days 17th, 18th, 19th and 20th of November 1977. It stopped when the Bay of Bengal cyclone hit the coast and gradually dissipated. Subsequently the partner cyclone over the Arabian Sea moved lonely and struck the west coastal region of India near Karwar on the 21st November.

          Other peculiar phenomenal happenings apart from the movement of the cyclones (as observed by satellite photographs) have also been recorded by enthusiastic intellectual public some of which are the authentic observations made by Late Dr. M. Gourinadha Sashtry, ex-Professor of Physics, Hindu College, Machillipatnam and a few others residing in the areas of Dharwar and Karnataka regions. 

VEILED GRAVITATIONAL INTERACTION OF THE BINARY CYCLONE SYSTEMS

          The absence of any space scientific analysis of the occurrence of cyclones (as for instance, it has happened on the 1st November 1864 at Machillipatnam) has been pointed out first in the year 1960, to the author by Late Prof. Dr. K. Rangadhama Rao, The Professor Emeritus, Andhra University, Waltair.  Prompted by the recurrence of the devasting cyclones again in the month of November 1977, an attempt has been made by the present author to explain successfully the spatio-temporal movement of Binary cyclones systems over the Indian Peninsular Seas based on the concept of a gravitational interaction between these two whirling massive motion systems of the atmosphere.

          The space science analysis of these motion systems has been made adopting a theoretical model of the infrastructure of a cyclone with Tensorial description of the formation, development and sustenance of cyclones amenable to study both space-time geometrical analogous and meteorological parameters. The theory envisaged provides the study of the cyclone motion system, as a hydrostatic and gravitational entity, subject to both the gravitational perturbations and the Baroclinical disturbances.

EQUIPOISE HELICAL STRUCTURE OF A CYCLONE SYSTEM

          The longitudinal λ, latitude φ, pressure p, and time t are usually chosen Eulerian variables to describe the cyclone. New description adopts further the fluid element of the helical motion to be characterized by β the angle of fluid element symmetry axis makes with the wind velocity v, and ξ the roll angle of the same. A point on the surface of helix is characterized by the angle θ = ω t, where ω is the angular velocity, and α and k, the other two typical variables Viz., the constant wind velocity angle with an horizontal axis and k  a numerical constant of the helix.

          Major factor of maintenance of cyclones over the tropical waters is due to the differential heating (or cooling) and by the heat exchanged during the evaporation and condensation. Usually they are observed to generate only over hot waters, by convective circulation when the rate of exchange of heat and water vapor from the surface water to the atmosphere is highest. These circulations involve the cumulus and the cumulonimbus cloud masses. Intensification is due to factors (1) increasing cumulus circulation (2) from the latent heat released as sensible heat in the free troposphere. This heat is utilized to warming the air that rises rapidly causing a sort of vacuum. To fill this void from all sides the winds rush towards the centre but in a spiral fashion due to Coriolis forces and the Earth’s rotation. It has been observed the pressure perturbations contribution of the air masses oppose the moist convection that arises due to the unstable mass stratification factors. It is a significant finding that   
This moist convection factor has two contributions from θ and k, the typical helical variables over the radial spread of the cyclone system. In the inner regions, the mass stratification variations with respect to the θ variation, dominate meaning thereby that intense moist convection of helical nature occur surrounding the eye of the cyclone. These essentially form the vertical core which serves the purpose of a spinal inner bone of the helical structure. The cyclone helical motion system is in such fashion that the potential temperature of each fluid element within it would remain unchanged practically along the helical trajectory. This means that isocentric surfaces would be material surfaces moving along the helix trajectories. Such a motion preserves the amount of total energy of the cyclone which is the sum of its kinetic energy plus the total potential energy maintained under both the hydrostatic and gravitational equilibrium conditions.

DYNAMISM AND BAROCLINICITY OF AN INDIVIDUAL CYCLONE SYSTEM
         
                   Typical cyclones of the tropical seas, behave as an individual motion systems of atmosphere, hence at the macro-meteorological space-time scale one can estimate how much of available potential energy is possible within a cyclone for conversion into the kinetic energy. At a rate of about 8km a day (exclusively due to the said available potential energy conversion) this involves a kinetic energy of the motion of about 1.764E+12 kJ only a fraction of the total potential energy available which the later is normally of magnitude 10E+18kJ. Thus the dominant kinetic energy contribution to the observed normal north-westerly motion of the Bay of Bengal cyclone during the Oct-Nov months is due to the Baroclinical disturbances.

          In the low-stratosphere and high low-latitude troposphere potentially cold air parcels raise equator word, while potentially warmer air parcels subside moving pole-word. So the equatorial belt gets cooler while the sub polar belt gets warmer in the layer 10km and 25km. Tropical-cyclones thus continually extract heat from the equatorial belt to the sub polar latitude against gradient of the meridional temperatures. These are called the trade winds which move north-west to the south easterly directions in the month of November. The Baroclinical disturbance is thus due to warm air ascending in front of the cyclones and the cold air subsiding at the rear of it.

AVOIRDUPOIS CYCLONE AND ITS GRAVITATIONAL PUISSANT

          It is not surprising that individual cyclone acts as a source of gravitational radiation as it does posses an almost convective pressure rigid core of fluid elements and as well can interact with other cyclones, as a single entity. Taking specifically the example of individual cyclones that existed during the 13th November to 19th November over the Indian peninsular regions we note that cyclones separated by a distance of the order of 1600km could interact mutually gravitationally. The massive structure of a cyclone is also not free from the gravitational perturbations that it is subjected to generally. The author’s work revealed that the Bay of Bengal November 1977 cyclone to have existed as an individual motion system of the atmosphere oriented vertically with an effective length of L= 7.5km and radius r-70km density μ =1.21E-02gm per cm3 with a convective pressure tensile strength T= 8.829E+06 dynes per square cm area. This set an upper limit to be about 0.0611468 rad/sec.

          This amounts to the gravitational radiation of quantum of energy 6.728E-17eV. Estimate of total gravitational radiation energy as 86.935KeV. Despite the smallness of this output of the enormous cyclone of mass 3,528 Billion tones the number of Gravitons, the particles that propagate the gravitational force, emitted to be at the rate of 1.3E+21 gravitons per second.

          The significant feature of the model formulated by the present author is that with the increase in the cyclone convective pressure tensile strength, and density the rate of emission also goes up, with the size of the system. Therefore, it is appropriate to model cyclone as a spinning motion system which acts as a source of gravitational radiation.

GRAVITATIONALLY CONCORDANT BINARY CYCLONES

          Explanation for the peculiar behavior of the cyclones during the November 1977, a phenomenon of an uncommon kind, has not been advanced in literature. Actually, the movement of the Binary cyclones during the 16th to 19th November 1977 was totally recalcitrant with the known knowledge of meteorological and weather trends of the tropical cyclones. Hence it is not surprising that the present work constitutes as the work of first time report that a model explicitly describing the features of gravitational interaction of double cyclones is presented. The work helps to predict idealistic conditions of binary cyclones interaction to recur and helpful to gauge the future cyclones that might occur.

          The angular rotation of the double cyclones about their common centre of gravity caused the Bay of Bengal cyclone to move against a direction opposed to the natural Baroclinical disturbances of the atmosphere. The initial effect of gravitational interaction that developed during the days of 12th to 19th November 1977, was to stop the movement of Bay of Bengal cyclone towards the south-easterly  direction subsequently the interaction caused the motion in a reversed direction. Consequently the cyclone struck the eastern coast of India on the 19th November 1977 that fateful day killings of unaware population of rural India. (See Fig.1).


          The rate of rotational movement of this cyclone is of the order 8.79E-07 rad sec-1. The kinetic energy of the cyclone motion system is of the order of 6.829E+11kJ. The radiation loss by the Binary cyclone system is calculated to be 2.611E-14eV and the number of gravitons emitted per second is calculated to be 2.267E+07. The energy of each graviton and total amount of radiation emitted per second both are small but the model clearly demonstrates the significant feature that the cyclones physically do interact gravitationally and such an interaction is even capable of effectively altering the course of movement of individual cyclones. The model thus explains why it is not unphysical that the Divi Cyclone of November 1977 crossed the land at Machillipatnam, instead of dissipating into the Sea in a natural course.

* K. L. Narayana, “Space Science analysis of the 19th November 1977 Indian
      Peninsular Double Cyclone and their gravitational interaction and a model of
      a helical cyclonic metric structure”, Physics Section, Paper No.89, the 68th Ind. Sci.
      Cong. Session, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 3-8th January 1981.

REFERENCES

  1. Stephen P. Cohen, Ragaghavulu, C. V., “The Andhra cyclone of 1977”, Vikas Publishing House Pvt. Ltd., Kanpur.
  2. K. L. Narayana, “On other gravity possibilities of Gravitation”, Proc. Einstein Centenary Symp. 20th February 1980, University of Nagpur, Nagpur, 1980.
  3. K. L. Narayana, “Space Science analysis of the 19th November 1977 Indian            Peninsular Double Cyclone and their gravitational interaction and a model of a helical cyclonic metric structure”, Physics Section, Paper No.89, the 68th Ind. Sci.Cong. Session, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 3-8th January 1981.
  1. Subrahmanyam, Science Reporter Vol.15, p.154, 1978.
  2. Mukherjee A. K., Science Today, Vol.12, p.45, 1978.
  3. Nieuwolt.S., “Tropical Climatology”, John Wiley & Sons, Chapter.6,1977
  4. Desai B. N., Memoris Ind. Met Dept., p.28, Part V, 1952
  5. Pramarik S. K., Rao. K. N. Memoris Ind. Met Dept., p.30, Part VI, 1953.
  6. K. L. Narayana,” Graviton and Anti-Graviton annihilation and creation of Fermi-Quark and f-meson pair multiplets”, Mathematics Section, Paper No.114,68th Ind. Sci. Cong. Sess, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 3-8th January, 1981.
  7. K. L. Narayana, “Spinorial-Optical collineations and a theory of Massive charged Vector Bosons”, Mathematics Section, Paper No.110, 68th Ind. Sci. Cong.  Session, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 3-8th January 1981.


Fig.1 Page 1 IMG_2307
Fig.2 Page 2 IMG_2308


Fig.3 Page 3 IMG_2309

Fig.4 Page 4 IMG_2310


Fig.5 Page 5 IMG_2311

Fig.6 Page 6 IMG_2312


Fig.7 Page 7IMG_2313


Fig.8 Page 8 IMG_2314


Fig.9 from UNESCO R R Naybury Impact of Science on Society, Dt. 4 Aug 1982, IMG_2306

ACKNOWLEDGMENT

                Am indebted to Late Prof. K. Rangadhama Rao, D.Sc. (Madras) D.Sc. (London) whose critical research analysis helped me a lot personally and his effort in establishment of an International Centre of Research at AU, Waltair inspiring several students, many who have migrated away to foreign countries.



My List:

88. K. L. Narayana, “Space Science analysis of the 19th November 1977 Indian
      Peninsular Double Cyclone and their gravitational interaction and a model of
      a helical cyclonic metric structure”, Physics Section, Paper No.89, the 68th Ind. Sci.
      Cong. Session, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 3-8th January 1981.
89. K. L. Narayana,” Graviton and Anti-Graviton annihilation and creation of
      Fermi-Quark and f-meson pair multiplets”, Mathematics Section, Paper No.114,
      68th Ind. Sci. Cong. Session, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 3-8th January,
      1981.
90. K. L. Narayana, “Spinorial-Optical collineations and a theory of Massive charged
      Vector Bosons”, Mathematics Section, Paper No.110, 68th Ind. Sci. Cong. Session,

       Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 3-8th January 1981.

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